Social
Security in the United Sates, and many other countries for that
matter, have a very similar arrangement, and the concept was certainly
perhaps a noble idea on the part of politicians, albeit not a
economically sustanable one. However, the problem is that most
people really did not understand what the system was all about, and how
it truly functions. If they really knew, they most likely would
have rejected the idea from the start. Which is to say, many
people think (or thought) the government was taking money out of their
paychecks every month and putting it away somewhere in a special
account. In other words, many people were lead to believe that
the government was saving money on that persons own behalf for
retirement. Not True, or in the least this is not the way it
works. It was a nice party while it lasted, and now comes the
hangover.
. Almost all of these programs are what is known as a Pay As You Go program. In simpler terms we can say it was a sort of modern day Robin Hood government wealth transfer process. People that were currently working and making payments into the system were (and are) really supporting the people that are currently retired (or those persons taking a check). The concept of course was based upon demographics. Demographics, which have changed, and really the problem has been that such changes have never been addressed in terms of how the system operates. In addition, as the years have progressed, the politicians have also changed whom and for what Social Security funds are meant to pay for. This is also a major part of the problem and why a crisis in looming on the horizon. . When former US President Roosevelt signed Social Security into law on August 14, 1935 the United States was experiencing a deep economic crisis - or the Great Depression if you prefer. The idea behind Social Security was to act as an economic stimulus. In other words, a way to put funds into the hands of retirees so they could spend it and have the cash flow needed to stimulate the economy (the applied economics theories of John Maynard Keynes). Of course it was sold to the general public as a plan to help the elderly, which it did do at the time of course. Regardless, Social Security was originally envisioned and meant to be an income supplement, and NOT a full-fledged government sponsored retirement program. In addition, coverage for medical care expenses (Medicare Social Insurance for the Elderly), benefits to widows, orphans and the disabled were all added on later as additional draws on the Social Security system. So, also as a result, the benefits and who was eligible to receive them expanded in later years. . In any event, when the system was originally put into place (1935) there were anywhere from roughly 30 to 40 persons (depending upon what statistics you look at) paying in for each one person taking out a check. So, of course the amount of the check for one was spread out among 30 or 40 people and the payments these people made at the time were fairly minimal as a result. Things have changed. The United States witnessed a surge in birth rates directly following World War II, the period from about 1945-1965, or the baby-boom generation. After that period (1965 and onward) the affects of inflation and changing societal issues meant that it took two incomes to offer up the same middle-class lifestyle as before. In other words, many couples decided to have only one child or in some cases, none at all. The result was a drastically reduced birth rate and lower population coming into the work force to support the so-called pay as you go system. . You might ask - What about the Social Security surplus or trust fund often talked about? Well, this came from all those baby-boomers paying in, or more correctly, the fact that a surge of people in the population that were in reality paying in an excess of what was needed. Supposedly this money was put aside or saved by the politicians into a special trust fund, but the truth is they spent it all. Which is to say that these funds were placed into a so-called trust fund and carried on the accounting records of Social Security as a surplus, BUT it was then loaned out to the federal government and in its place, an IOU was given to the trust fund in turn. So, the money was spent and the only way to replace it is if the US Federal Government (and of course the tax payers) collects even more new money in the future to replace these borrowed funds. What if the government put that money into gold or other kinds of investments whereby the politicians could not touch it? Well, for sure it would result in a much better scenario than what exists today, but even still, this would not eliminate the problem completely. . There are a variety of different statistics floating around, and in some cases these figures even contradict each other. However, the fact remains that this group of baby-boomers will start to retire and ask for social security checks right NOW in 2005, and the wave of new retirees will continue exponentially each year afterwards. Regardless, starting in 2012 (and some statistics claim other dates, indicating from 2012 up until 2017) Social Security will pay out more in benefits than it collects in revenues. Also, as of 2004, Medicare has already been operating with a deficit, and generally speaking health care costs have been rising more rapidly than any other expense (at double digit rates). Also, in 1950, the average worker paid 2.96 percent of their salary or income into the social security system. Today that amount is almost 16 percent. In effect, this means that since Social Security is broken out as separate so-called contribution payment (they do not call it or classify it as income tax, but rather a contribution towards Social Security, abbreviated as FICA), it is actually a hidden additional tax against income amounting to about 16 percent on average. So, if you think you are in a 32-percent tax bracket, you had better think again. In reality, one way or another, you are probably giving the government almost 50 percent of your earnings away in tax payment (32 plus 16 equals 48). . In the 1990s, social security spending increased at 6% per year (double inflation), while Medicare continued at over 11% growth per year (3-4 times faster than inflation). According to the 2005 Trustee Report, Medicare went into deficit spending in 2004 and going into 2009, Medicare remains insolvent or otherwise stated, bankrupt. . THE BOTTOM LINE
..So,
the question remains: What do You Want to Do About It? What
do you think the politicians will end up doing? Will they cut
benefits, raise taxes, and extend the eligible retirement age - or
not? Will the situation get better or worse? If worse, who
is going to suffer? The politicians always like to say when there
is a problem: We are all in this together. What is
this we business? Who is this we that had control over the
money? Who do they use the word we, when they really mean
you?
.. Many people will post the argument that the government would never let Social Security fail - but what does that mean really? Does it mean that they will run the printing presses like wild and give you money down the road that will be worth less and less due to inflation? Does it mean they will tax all the younger workers to such an extent that they will feel resentment (not to mention the financial burden and reduced standard of living due to less disposable income)? Does it mean that we have to wait until 85 years of age to check the get (if we live that long)? HERE
ARE SOME IDEAS:
.Number One: Forget about Social Security.
It is broke, and
none of the possible options will do you any good (higher taxes, lower
benefits, extended retirement age, the government printing of more
money and more inflation, etc., and so on). They tricked you,
they fooled you, they got your money - so be it. As my
grandfather used to say - Let the harm of the year go with it.
However, to quote a famous song by Roger Daltry and the WHO - We won't
be fooled again. Hope for the best, but plan for the worse.
Which is to say, if you can figure out how to support yourself and how
to retire on your own, it really does not matter what kind of nonsense
comes down the line later on. If they tell you - sorry, we have
to cut your retirement check in half, be in a position to laugh instead
of cry. If they tell you they want to take even more money away
from you going forward, tell them you decided to quit. Tell them
you resign. Tell them you decided to fire them as a government
and that you decided to go look for another. Governments are a
kind of service provider, just like the cable company. Your
current cable company gives you bad service and wants to double the
bill for even worse service and benefits? What do you do?
You cancel the contract and go look for another. Same thing with
where you are living at the moment. You do have options and
choices. In addition, you do have ways to secure your own
financial future without the help (or meddling) of any politician.
. Number Two: Take heed of number one because it means you have to think long and hard about taking care of yourself. This could mean some very interesting choices, such as expatriation for one thing. Yes, expatriation - the idea of just saying no and going to live somewhere shall we say, less taxing? Many Americans and Europeans have decided to relocate to places that do NOT have this looming problem (no extensive social welfare state to contend with), much lower cost of living, much lower housing costs, better year round climate, possibly much less taxes AND the ability to be far away from any possible negative social fallout that might occur as well. Where are some of these places? How about Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, Dominican Republic, Panama, Thailand, and Cambodia - just to name a brief few. What? Me, live in a third world country? Well, I have some news for you - these places just mentioned are far more modern than you might think. Plus, they offer lower cost of living, lower housing costs, comfortable climate AND possibly even much. much (did I mention much?) lower taxes. If you like the idea of taking care of yourself without the government picking your pocket, then you owe it to yourself to check out these and perhaps other destinations. . Number Three: Get out of debt and buy your retirement home for CASH. What a novel idea? The lower that your fixed monthly expenses are, the better off you will be. How much money would you need if your monthly expenses were simply electricity, telephone, cable, and grocery shopping only? If you owned your own home mortgage free, this can be a reality. The problem is where can you afford the same if not more of a home (in terms of space and amenities) than what you already have for US$150,000 or less? Refer back to some of the countries mentioned above. Where as to purchase a comfortable middle-class home for half the price of the home you are in now (without giving up too much in terms of size and amenities) in North America or Europe will be almost impossible, this is not so elsewhere in the world. . Number Four:
Consider becoming a proactive and informed investor
instead of just a helpless victim of foolish politicians and
irresponsible government spending policies. Also, remember that
you are a sovereign individual and not the chattel property of any
state. This means that you have to right to live where ever you
wish, and it also means you have the right to change countries and
citizenship if that is your decision as well. Part of the problem
is the number of false stereotypes and rumors floating around. Do
not believe them, but instead investigate and go see for
yourself. Instead of doing what your normally do for an annual
vacation, go visit another country that you think you might like to
live in or retire to. Go and visit the Dominican Republic, or
Thailand or Argentina or Panama or anywhere else that you like.
Investigate for yourself if what the idiot from the accounting
department (who never traveled anywhere in his life) told you at the
office water cooler was true - or not. I am going to bet after
visiting a few of these places, you will become enlightened and more
positive about what is possible, and what is indeed the truth. In
addition, you will come to realize how idiotic and uninformed some
other people truly are, but so be it. Your life is your own
responsibility. Live it to the fullest, invest in yourself and
your own
future. It is certainly a worthwhile investment, do you not think?
.
|